Should I use estimative language in written submissions to AWMF, like in a National Intelligence Estimate (NIE), or take an approach more similar to a journal article?
We are not looking for analysis that is estimative in the NIE sense, but it also need not be as formulaic as most journal articles tend to be. What we are looking for above all is expert judgment; inferences or hypotheses that are not obvious; and analysis that is not solely hard evidence-based but that also draws on history, culture, and suppositions about behavior in anticipated circumstances. In terms of tenor and tone, we are comfortable with a range of styles, including those less formal than either an NIE or a journal article.